6.30.2013

Independence Day Handicap

Los Alamitos Race Course
Today's card features the running of the Independence Day Handicap where a field of seven will sprint 300 yards in race nine. The top three contenders are Tres Of Linda, Check N Fetch, and Consider. I feel like one those three will win it but it's tough, so I will use all three.

Best Bets:

Race 2 - # 1 Meia Corona: this filly delivered a good second place finish in her debut and then ran into some solid competition in here next two starts when running in futurity trials. She has shown good gate manners and today she faces easier competition. I like the inside post for her and any of her first two efforts should win here. I figured that numbers 1,3 and 4 here would be playing a similar payout in the pick four so I decided to take a stand and single. Hopefully we can catch a price in another leg.

Race 8 - #1 Quenton: he made a big run in his first start as a 3-year-old last out when missing by a neck at odds of 21-1 in similar spot. He encountered trouble at the break and got bumped repeatedly before showing good energy late. He faces a solid field today but with that race under his belt and the inside draw, I think he is the one to beat. He is the 3-1 second choice on the morning line.

Selections:

Race 1:  1-7-3   Cheryl was my nightmare last night, using top three.
Race 2:  1-4-3   Top three look similar, trying to get out with a single.
Race 3:  1-5-7   Was all over Engraver on 5/31 (see blog post), but others offer value.
Race 4:  5-2-4   #5 was scary fast last out, #2 runs good fresh & shows two good works
Race 5:  1-4-7    #1 has been favored last four starts, class drop. Zamudio enters two.
Race 6:  2-6-3   #2 could have won with better break, #6 has good post & gate speed.
Race 7:  6-4-2   #6 ran huge last out, but this field has good runners. Four deep.
Race 8:  1-5-2   Big effort for #1 at 21-1, Visscher & Peinado know how to win races.
Race 9:  5-2-6   #5 powered away but G2 winner Tres Of Linda wants rematch.

My Plays:

Race 1 - $1 Pick Four:  1,3,7 / 1 / 1,2,5,7 / 2,5 = $24

Race 6 - $1 Pick Four:  2,6 / 2,3,4,6 / 1 / 2,5,6 = $24

Some ugly beats in pick-4's and pick-6 in the past few weeks have accumulated to missing out on thousands of dollars, let's get lucky with those photo finishes tonight!


I watch horses run around.

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