2.06.2016

Santa Anita: Road to the Kentucky Derby



If you are at Santa Anita Park for the Chandelier Room event (santaanita.com/events) you will receive this tip sheet. If you are not on site, well, here you go.

The Robert B. Lewis (Race 4) has a field of seven 3-year-olds looking to stamp their names on the road to the Kentucky Derby but in my opinion, I don't really see a strong Kentucky Derby-type candidate in this bunch.

Saturday's card at Santa Anita will see the return of the Champion 2-year-old filly Songbird in the Las Virgenes Stakes (Race 5) where she completely towers over her rivals on paper. It will be interesting to see how she does in her first race as a 3-year-old.

The San Antonio (Race 7) is wide open to me and I think any of them can win it. I like the invader Donworth so if he goes off at anything higher than his morning line odds then I'll probably make a good win bet there.

The San Marcos (Race 8) looks like a race for some prices. I really like my top two picks there and that's definitely going to be a key race for me on the day.


Check out my Longshot Play of the Day over at America's Best Racing: http://www.americasbestracing.net/en/the-latest/blogs/2016/2/5/los-ponies-longshots-for-feb-6-7/

12.13.2015

Los Alamitos Two Million Futurity



Before we take a look at tonight's program, we have to agree that The Champion of Champions lived up to expectations. The match-up of Moonist and Heza Dasha Fire was a great one and the best horse of the night was Heza Dasha Fire. Moonist can sometimes tend to break slow but this time he broke clean and fast and looked to be in prime position to take it but Heza Dasha Fire kicked on with tremendous ease. Great race. I'm glad both of them got clean breaks and were able to show their best efforts.


Tonight's Los Two Alamitos Futurity has Ima Fearless Hero as the 2-1 morning line favorite from post position ten. Ima Fearless Hero is the half-brother to Heza Dasha Fire and they have the same owner, trainer, jockey, and have the same outside post positions. Will the movie repeat itself?

Picks:

Race 1:  4-7-2

#4 Highly Cynical was against too tough of a field last time out. He's run well over the nighttime oval and he's got enough speed to work out a good trip stalking the pace.

Race 2:  6-2-5

#6 Full Fare ran a very good race two starts ago and will be tough to beat with a repeat effort.

Race 3:  2-8-6

#2 Flashy Big didn't get off to the best of starts in the trials and now shows up for a claiming tag for the first time in his career. I have always been pretty high on this runner and I think he should be tough to handle with a clean trip.

Race 4:  4-3-5

#4 Roll Tide ran a better-than-looked effort in the trials. He ran on and made up some ground from the rail post after a tough start. He's drawn next to the slow-breaking Thermonuclear Energy and hopefully he can get a jump on the field and post an upset.

Race 5:  3-2-4

#3 Time For Action has shown improvement in her last two starts and it won't take much more than that to win this race.

Race 6:  3-4-5

#3 Lady Delaney was a beaten favorite last time out at this level but I think she's in a great spot to earn her sixth career victory.

Race 7:  5-1-3

#5 Vizcaya has had a couple of troubled trips in her last two starts but if you ignore them and go three races back when this jockey was aboard then she looks good in this spot.

Race 8:  7-1-2

#7 Sheza Flight Risk has been a consistent runner all year long. Tough to not like her consistency at similar levels and I like her outside post.

Race 9:  4-10-5-2   The GI Los Alamitos Two Million Futurity

#4 Docs Best Card has qualified to all the major futurities this year and has been unlucky in a few of the finals. He looked great on trial night and was finishing strongly. Let's just hope for a clean break.

#10 Ima Fearless Hero has five wins from seven starts and has never been off the board. Who knows how good he might be. His trial win was his best race yet.

#5 Dynasty Energy can be a big factor if he breaks sharply and avoids drifting paths. He's always shown talent and the distance shouldn't be a problem.

#2 Walk Thru Crystal began her career a perfect 5-for-5 before losing her next two outings. She rebounded with a good victory in the trials and while i don't think she prefers this distance, I think she can hit the superfecta.

12.12.2015

Sha Tin: Longines Hong Kong International Races



The big day of races has arrived at Sha Tin Racecourse. I suggest you start planning a trip to next year's #HKIR. The Hong Kong racing experience is one of a kind. Can we hit another 6-up (pick-6) today? We're going to give it a try!

Get the free Form (Past Performances / Program) here: http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/info/meeting/Racecard/english/Local

Watch the live video stream here: http://campaign.hkjc.com/en/2015-hkir/hkir-livecast.aspx?b_cid=EWHPSLE_1516HKIR_LIVE

Picks:

R1: # 4 Modern Tsar
R2: # 6 Happilababy
R3: # 7 Team Fortune
R4: # 1 Flintshire
R5: # 1 Gold-Fun
R6: # 6 Werther
R7: # 1 Able Friend
R8: # 3 Blazing Speed
R9: # 10 Sun Jewellery

Let's get some winners!


Champions of Champions: Moonist vs Heza Dasha Fire



The match up of the year is upon us. The prestigious Grade I Champion of Champions has two of the biggest stars in the sport of Quarter Horse Racing with Moonist and Heza Dasha Fire. Moonist is the 4-year-old with a record of 20 wins from 29 starts and Heza Dasha Fire is the 3-year-old with 10 wins in 11 starts. They both love to win races. Will somebody else post the upset?


Picks:

Race 1:  6-3-1

#6 In Control is making his second start off a layoff while also making a drop in class. He's shown good speed in the past and has run well over the nighttime oval.

Race 2:  1-4-3

#1 Big Time Gambler appears to have the speed of the field. A clean break from the rail should make him the one to catch coming down the stretch.

Race 3:  7-8-6

#7 Stossel has encountered some troubled trips in his last few outings. He's been given some time off and all he needs to make an impact is a clean break.

Race 4:  5-7-2

#5 Uno Corona Mas finished a good fourth in his trial outing last time out while facing a sharp winner. He still has room for improvement and the cut back in distance should also help him.

Race 5:  3-1-2

#3 Kimnjet is taking drop in class for a sharp trainer and this gelding has been competitive on the dirt against tougher field in northern California.

Race 6:  3-6-1

#3 Freaking Freckles showed improvement in his first start under the lights despite a slow break. He looks to be in a good spot to get the maiden win.

Race 7:  3-5-6

#3 Reasonable showed some ability earlier in the year before going on a break. She is taking another slight drop in class for owner, trainer and breeder Paul Jones.

Race 8:  4-5-2

#4 Dunright Corona was overmatched in latest trial outing when finishing fifth of eight at a longer distance. Her best efforts have been at today's distance and the return to the maiden ranks should help.

Race 9:  10-7-6-5     The GI Champion of Champions

#10 Heza Dasha Fire has gotten scary good as a 3-year-old. Although he's facing older for the first time, I think his talent is a level above his competition. The outside post position should give him clear running room.

#7 Moonist is another one that has gotten better in 2015. He's got a win at today's distance and that's something Heza Dasha Fire doesn't have it. If HDF makes any mistakes, he better watch out for this guy.

#6 Far Niente is no stranger to winning. He's won 11 of his 22 starts and has defeated Moonist this year. He can jump up with a big effort at any time.

#5 Rock You has improved since arriving to California under the care of Jaime Gomez. He's got the most experience of the group at this distance and this jockey knows him very well.