3.08.2014

Santa Anita Big 'Cap Day

We have a spectacular day of racing at Santa Anita Park today. 11 races, full fields, and a Breeders Cup Classic rematch in the GI $750,000 Santa Anita Handicap between Mucho Macho Man, Will Take Charge and Game On Dude. What a race. There's also a very good Kentucky Derby prep race, The GII San Felipe $300,000 San Felipe Stakes. I think California Chrome is ready to fire a big on in the San Felipe. If that wasn't enough, we have sprinters going 7 furlongs in the G2 $250,000 San Carlos and a full field of 10 in the GI $350,000 Frank E. Kilroe Mile. Hungry and thirsty? We have that covered too, there's also a BBQ and Beer Festival going on in the infield today at Santa Anita.

The first 15,000 fans in attendance today at Santa Anita will receive a FREE general admission ticket to attend Breeders Cup Friday on 10/31. Why wouldn't you make it out to Santa Anita today?

Can't make it to the races? Make sure to watch the Big Cap on Fox Sports 1 at 7pm ET / 4pm PT.

Here are my entire-card selections for today. Let's get some winners!

You can also find my $20 play for the Big Cap at America's Best Racing here: http://www.americasbestracing.net/en/the-latest/abrv/2014/3/7/betting-guide-for-big-cap-mucho-macho-man-will-take-charge/


12.27.2013

New Meet, New Dates, New Track.

Expansion at Los Alamitos Race Course
The 2013-2014 Quarter Horse & Thoroughbred meet at Los Alamitos begins tonight with an 8-race program that features runners such as Sparky E Boy and Chivalry Sr in the fourth race.

In addition to the traditional meet, Los Al will feature five weeks of top level Thoroughbred racing in 2014. The race track is going through the expansion project and is expected to be completed by late January. The five weeks will be divided into two meets, one in July (two weeks) and one in December (three weeks).

Time to begin the new meet on a winning note, let's take a look at tonight's card.

Selections:

Race 1:  4-1-2
Race 2:  7-3-5
Race 3:  3-4-2
Race 4:  3-7-4
Race 5:  1-5-6
Race 6:  3-5-2
Race 7:  1-6-5
Race 8:  3-5-2

Plays:

Race 1 - $10 Pick Four:  4 / 7 / 3 / 3,7 = $20

Race 5 - $1  Pick Four:  1,3,5,6 / 3 / 1 / All = $20

Good Luck!

12.15.2013

Los Alamitos Two Million Futurity

The view from the Vessels Club at Los Alamitos
Last night we saw a spectacular performance by Last To Fire when winning the GI $750,000 Champion of Champions in dominating fashion over a spectacular field of older quarter horses. That performance might have locked in the award for 2013 World Champion Quarter Horse.

Tonight the spotlight will shift over to the ten 2-year-olds that will compete in the running of the Los Alamitos Two Million Futurity. Trainer Trey Wood qualified the top three fastest qualifiers and trainer Jose De La Torre (won the Champion of Champions last night, and won the Los Al Two Million last year) qualified a total of four runners for tonight's big race. It's a competitive field from top to bottom.

The folks AQHA invited me to post my analysis for the Los Al Two Million on their tip sheet. You can find my analysis along with Jen Perkins' here: http://www.aqha.com/Racing/Content-Pages/Racing-and-Wagering/Q-Racing-Aces-and-Handicapping-Information.aspx#.UqvDbWRDssx

In addition to the Los Al Two Million, some of the runners that did not qualify for the rich final, will run in the Los Al Invitation which goes as race 4 on the card. Great way to end the early pick four.

Let's tackle tonight's card.

Selections:

Race 1:  4-2-3
Race 2:  3-5-6
Race 3:  1-2-3
Race 4:  4-8-7
Race 5:  2-1-5
Race 6:  5-6-1
Race 7:  6-1-2
Race 8:  5-6-2
Race 9:  5-10-3-2

Race 1 - $1 Pick Four: 2,4 / 3 / 1,2 / All = $40

Race 2 - $1 Pick Four: All / 6 / 2,3,5,6 / 5,10 = $48

Good Luck!

12.13.2013

Biggest Weekend of the Year

 Trophies:
Champion of Champions (Left)
Los Al Two Million Futurity (Right)
A big weekend of racing at Los Alamitos Race Course is upon us. The running of the GI $750,000 Champion of Champions, featuring the sports' leading earner Ochoa, takes place tomorrow night and the GI Los Alamitos $2 Million Futurity will be run on Sunday night.

I will be providing my entire-card selections all weekend long here on my blog and also on twitter. In addition, the folks at AQHA invited me to be a guest handicapper on their tip-sheet for the Los Al Two Million Futurity. My analysis and selections are up. Check out the Dec 14-15 sheet: http://www.aqha.com/Racing/Content-Pages/Racing-and-Wagering/Q-Racing-Aces-and-Handicapping-Information.aspx#.UqvDbWRDssx


Before we get into the big Saturday and Sunday, let's tackle tonight's 9-race card:

Selections:

Race 1:  4-1-5
Race 2:  2-3-4
Race 3:  6-4-3
Race 4:  4-7-1
Race 5:  3-5-6
Race 6:  1-3-5
Race 7:  3-4-1
Race 8:  4-5-1
Race 9:  3-5-4

Plays:

Race 1 - $1 Pick Four: 1,2,4,5 / 2,3 / 6 / 4,7 = $16 (corrected play on 4th leg, used 7, not 6)

Race 6 - $1 Pick Four: 1,3 / 3,4 / 1,4,5,6 / 3 = $16

Good Luck!


**updated**


11.09.2013

AQHA Bank of America Challenge Championships

One of the best days in Quarter Horse racing returns to Los Alamitos Race Course as the 2013 edition of the AQHA Bank of America Challenge Championships makes it's way to to the Orange County
oval tonight. A ten-race all-stakes card will feature over $1 Million in purses and horses from all over the world looking to earn a championship win. 

First post for the night is at 6 p.m. pacific. Below are my best bets for the night which will be my singles in the early and late pick-4's.

Race 3: #2 Creole Williams has a three wins, one second and two thirds in six tries over this distance. He's always shown a late kick but he needs to break good in order to avoid trouble behind horses. In his most recent start, he stumbled at the start when running against Ochoa in the Los Al Championship when finishing seventh. I think he owns the class edge agains this field.

Race 9: #3 Jr Dynasty Mountain has very good gate speed and valuable Los Al experience under his belt. Those two things are what made me pick him on top. He was second in the PCQHRA Futurity last year after a very easy win in the trials. He comes into this race off of two dominating wins against easier competition in Idaho but he has a good workout leading up to this and I think he is going to fire a big race tonight.


I will post my entire card selections on my twitter along with my pick-4 tickets as we get closer to post time. There is an early scratch of #10 Sfr Stuck On You in Race 9. 

Stay tuned to my Twitter @LosPonies   twitter.com/losponies

If you do not have TVG to watch the races, you can also watch the free streaming courtesy of AQHA

 Good Luck!

10.12.2013

Indiana Downs 10/12/13 All Quarter Horse Days

This year I had the pleasure of visiting Indiana Downs for the first time and I had a great time. They have great facilities that are clean, upgraded, and welcoming to all ages. They have a great loyal fan base and constantly have full-fields which provide great betting opportunities.

I had the opportunity to handicap with Jon White from HRTV and Rachel McLaughlin from Indiana Downs on a few of my visits and I was lucky enough to give out some winners for the fans and made some money.

Today, Indiana Downs has an all Quarter Horse card featuring a total of nine races with five Stakes. Eight of those races feature fields of ten while the other race has a field of eight. Great betting card.

Today's first post at Indiana Downs is 1:55pm Eastern.

Here are my selections:


Indiana Downs 10/12/13
Analysis by Jose Contreras (@LosPonies)


Race
Selections
Comments
1
8-3-1
Eagles Secret has the class edge against this field, she tends to break good, and missed third by a neck in Futurity. Caribbean Club switches to a new trainer that has been doing very good at this meet (28%) and he does have some early gate speed. Ask Buster made a good improvement in his second start and can be a big contender if he keeps getting better.
2
10-2-3
Phoebe Dynasty did not get away to a good start last out when third as the favorite let’s hope today’s outside post will help him get a clean start. I Am Fame’s best weapon is his gate speed, he has shown he can handle this distance before, he is making his second start off a long layoff. Ms Jesse Belle has a couple of good seconds in her record but she lacks early gate speed, will be rolling late.
3
7-5-4
Don’t blink or you might miss this 110-yard race. This is all about gate speed and Ra Jess Dream On has it. He has broken on top in six of his last nine starts, including winning four of those races. Speed Smith has finished second and third in two tries at this distance, he comes from high percentage connections. Pescado Fuerte has won two of his last three starts and has shown gate speed.
4
3-4-10
Wh Blazen Beach ran a good third after a troubled start, all she needs is an alert start. A Royal Hare has been favored in four of his last five starts and has finished second four times. Has the talent but lacks the will to win. Cackus Jack ran in a tough allowance last out, his race from two starts ago fits against this field, has good outside post.
5
8-3-10
Luminaro has found a new gear at the age of five, his last two wins looked very good, only needs to repeat last effort to win. Ritzi Zoomer showed a determined win last out and finished second behind the top choice two starts ago. This Ones for Rudy missed the win last out by a nose after making up ground late when over a length clear of the third place finisher.
6
8-3-2
If Sum Fun for Magic runs back to her trial, the rest are running for second. Tinys First Pepsi ran a good race in the trial and looked to have more gas left in the tank, he ran second behind the top choice two starts ago. Flys No Mystery closed the gap late against the second choice to come within a neck at the end, he likes this track and this distance.
7
4-7-1A
Foose On Fire won his trial despite breaking slow and hitting the gate at the start, he might be long gone if he breaks with the field. Pyc First Prize Fany has done little wrong in her four career starts and already has two wins over this track. Secrets Fly brings the class edge, he is a multiple stakes winner and has won six of his eight starts.
8
10-2-8
Pistolpacking Pepsi closed with a good kick and pulled away late in the trials, I give him the edge with the outside post. Wh Design by Dash is the class of the field, has qualified to multiple stakes, and his jockey knows him well. Eyem Jumpn had a troubled trip in his trial and is better than that race indicates, his trainer is having a good meet.
9
2-4-8
Tricky Outlaw had a three-race winning streak snapped in the trials after break last in field of seven but made up tons of ground late to get second. Habits Secret defeated the top choice in the trial and is looking to extend his winning streak to three. Diamonds Edge ran third behind the top two choices in the trials after breaking on top. He is lightly raced, can improve, and comes from a high-percentage trainer.

10.06.2013

Wild West Futurity Trials

Trailers lined up for the Los Alamitos Equine Sale
Four trials to the Wild West Futurity (Race 6 - 9) will highlight tonight's card at Los Alamitos Race Course and close out a nice weekend of racing that saw some very good performances in the PCQHRA Derby & Futurity.

Los Alamitos also concluded their ninth annual Los Alamitos Equine Sale today. I had the opportunity to stop by on Saturday to check out the sale and it was nice to see some familiar faces. Ed Allred, owner of Los Alamitos, spoke to the crowd about the 2014 racing calendar at Los Alamitos and about the changes that the new Thoroughbred meets will bring to the facilities. Take a look at this letter from Dr. Allred: http://losalamitos.com/News.aspx?id=1932

Today's singles:

Race 1: #7 Attack The Fire - She arrives here from Ruidoso after running in three trials this summer that should give her plenty of class experience against these. The winner of that last trial went on to finish second in the prestigious All American Futurity. She looks to have some early speed and the Ruidoso shippers have been doing well here.

Race 6: #4 Jesses Perfect One - This gelding brings a four-race winning streak into this race and looks tough to beat. He has a good workout over this track and Jay Conklin knows him well.  All his races have been at today's distance.

Selections:

Race 1:  7-1-2
Race 2:  5-3-6
Race 3:  3-2-6
Race 4:  8-7-5
Race 5:  5-2-1
Race 6:  4-7-2
Race 7:  6-4-8
Race 8:  3-8-2
Race 9:  5-7-2

Plays:

Race 1 $1 Pick Four:  7 / 3,5,6 / 2,3 / 1,5,7,8 = $24

Race 6 $1 Pick Four:  4 / 4,6,8 / 3,8 / 2,3,5,7 = $24

Good Luck!

9.15.2013

Stellar GI Go Man Go Field Assembled

One of the best Go Man Go fields I have ever seen will highlight tonight's card and conclude a great weekend of racing at Los Alamitos Race Course.

The tepid 7-2 favorite on the morning line is the sharp Last to Fire from the Jose De La Torre barn. He has won three of his last four starts and was most recently seen winning the GI Vessels Maturity in a fast final time of 19.34 for 400 yards.

Tonight's Go Man Go is also at 400 yards and features a wide open field from top to bottom. Jess Featureme Quick just won the G3 Los Al Challenge Championship, Cold Cash 123 won this race last year and won a G2 at Remington Park two starts ago, Flame N Flash almost pulled a 26-1 upset in the Champion of Champions last year and runs well fresh, Hez Our Secret has 4 wins from 9 starts at Los Al and hails from the hot Trey Wood barn, Rylees Boy has not slowed down at the age of 8 and won the GI Los Al Winter Championship at this distance two starts ago, the longshot Jm Blue Light won impressively in his first start for the Jones barn and looked to be wanting more distance, Chivalry was bet down as the favorite in his last troubled start in a GI, Sparky E Boy ran a good second behind Jess Featureme Quick in his first start for Jones last out, and Check My Thoughts was last seen winning the GI Spencer L. Childers. Tough group.

My pick in the Go Man Go is Check My Thoughts. I think he is going to relish the outside post. Some of his wins have been better-than-looked given his troubled starts. If he gets away with the rest of them, I think he will be right there at the end. Given the tough late pick-4 sequence, I am going to take a stand and single Check My Thoughts in hopes of cashing a nice one.

Not only are these runners in search of the GI Go Man Go win, they also have their eyes set on the berth to the GI $750,000 Champion of Champions that the winner will earn in tonight's event.

Selections:

Race 1:  7-5-2
Race 2:  5-2-1
Race 3:  4-5-7
Race 4:  2-7-6
Race 5:  1-3-2
Race 6:  4-7-3
Race 7:  6-2-4
Race 8:  6-5-4
Race 9:  10-2-1

My plays:

Race 1 - $1 Pick Four:  5,7 / 5 / 4,5,7 / 2,7 = $18

Race 6 - $1 Pick Four:  2,3,4,6,7 / 2,4,6 / 4,5,6 / 10 = $45

Good Luck!

8.18.2013

Bank Of America California Regional Challenge

Los Alamitos Race Course

Tonight's feature race is the running of the Bank of America California Regional Challenge where a solid field of older runners will go the classic Quarter Horse distance of 440 yards.

The 8-year-old pro Rylees Boy is back from a deserved break and if he runs to how he has been working out in the mornings, he will be the one to beat. My top selection is Deniro who did not get away to a great start in his last race after an impressive trial win two starts ago. Let's hope he runs back to that trial effort. The other top contender is Jess Featureme Quick who ran a big effort when second in the Vessels Maturity. Jockey Saul Ramirez has ridden before and you can expect him to make a big run late.

Selections:

Race 1:  3-5-7
Race 2:  7-1-2
Race 3:  5-7-4
Race 4:  2-3-5
Race 5:  4-5-7
Race 6:  5-4-1
Race 7:  5-3-2
Race 8:  4-6-2
Race 9:  5-2-6

Plays:

Race 1 - $1 Pick Four:  3 / 1,2,4,7 / 5 / 1,2,3,5,6 = $20

Race 6 - $1 Pick Four:  5 / 3,5 / 1,2,4,6 / 2,5,6  = $24

Let's get some winners!

8.08.2013

A Day The Races

As many of you know, I work for America's Best Racing and we are trying to expand the sport of horse racing to a new, younger, audience. Horse racing offers many things that can appeal to a number of different people. Whether it's the fashion, the gambling, dinning and drinks, a day outdoors, the horses, the social atmosphere or a number of other things, horse racing is definitely an
affordable entertainment option when                  
compared to other sporting events.

Our second season of the America's Best Racing (Followhorseracing.com) tour kicked a few weeks ago in New Jersey with the Haskell at Monmouth Park and we are currently in Saratoga Springs celebrating the 150th anniversary of Saratoga Race Course.

I wanted to share some of the blogs that some of our guests have written about their experience when spending a day at the races, for almost all of them, this was their first time attending a race track. These are just some from these past few weeks, follow our twitter @ABRVTour to read more of them!



@Kallie_E :

http://butfirstcoffeeblog.blogspot.com/2013/07/snapshots-day-at-races-with-americas.html

@KimberlyMufferi :

http://www.kimberlymufferiphotographyblog.com/2013/08/day-trip-to-saratoga-150-nyc.html

@NJAntiques :



@DanonymousRacing :


@Amy_Marietta :


@_StephKoKo :


@DHAccessory :


@NicoleAlyse :

7.06.2013

Indiana Downs - Quarter Horse Night - Four Stakes


Indiana Downs
7/6/13
Analysis by Jose Contreras (@LosPonies)
Best Bet: #2 Gallant Ways (Race 3)
Long Shot Play: #7 Habits Secret (Race 6)

Race
Selections
Comments
1
4-3-2
Whata Cool Cat has shown consitent numbers, has some gate speed and looks to have the experience edge. Hqh Special Charlie showed improvement in his second start where he finished a good fourth. The first and second place finishers in that race returned to win. Executive Call looks like an interesting first time starter for owner/breeder/trainer Neil Schnecker. Shows a nice loca workout of 11.12.
2
3-5-9
Eyes Easy Cash looked she didn’t care for the sloppy surface last out. She had the lead in the 132k Stakes at 300 yards two starts ago and now cuts back to 250 yards. All Your Life was well supported at 5-1 in her debut. She received good racing experience, should improve. Zooms Dynasty is also making his second lifetime start. He should improve off of his debut effort. Has good post position between two slow breakers.
3
2-1-3
Gallant Ways got a clean trip and powered away. Likes this distance and should be tough to beat with a good break. Fierce Runaway pulled away to a four length win when dismissed at odds of 6-1. Has to carry her speed and extra 50 yards today. Tinys First Pepsi didn’t get away to the best of starts but was making up ground late when missing by a neck. He’s already a two-time stakes winner and will stretch out to 400-yards for the first time in his career.
4
7-8-10
Wh Preicous Perry has finished second a total of six times including last time where the winner was much the best. Jackson sticks with the ride and trainer Ron Raper adds lasix for the first time. Six Packin Hero finished fourth in her last out when favored, her effort two starts ago fits here. Hez Got Style is another one adding lasix for the first time and shows a fast 11.34 workout since his last race. Gets a good outside post.
5
2-7-1A
Pyc First Prize Fany pulled away late in a good looking win in her trial. She is only making her third career start and her sire has been producing some nice runners. Fast Prize Man took to Indiana Downs nicely by scoring a good win in his trial from this same post position. General Lee was favored in the trial against my top choice but finished third. He is already a two-time stakes finalist and gets a good outside post.
6
7-3-4
Habits Secret broke good but missed second by a head after making his first start since February. He should be more fit this time around. He is already a two-time Stakes winner. Hez Snow Quick comes into this race with sharp back-to-back wins at this track and at this distance. He is the deserving morning line favorite. Diamonds Edge showed big improvement in his second start when breaking on top and winning at 5-1. He is only making his third start tonight.
7
6-5-1
Flys No Mystery closed tons of ground in the final strides to get up and win by a nose. If he gets off to a better break, he will be the one to deny. This Lion Roars is a perfect 2-for-2 at this 400 yard distance and owns two wins for this track. Has improved under trainer Salvador Rojas. Hopen to Smokem also closed ground late in his trial but missed by a head. He has always shown a late kick but needs a better break. This is only his third time at this distance.
8
4-1-2
Chilled Six Pack pulled off a 14-1 upset in his trial when assuming command midway and holding on for the win. He likes the track and looks to be back in form at the right time. Air Born Leader is a multiple stakes winner that loves to win races at Indiana Downs. Has not lost a step as a 5-year-old and his jockey knows him well. Brimmerton Lane has shown talent at times and this seems to be his best distance. Picks up a new jockey and could be making up ground late.
9
1-3-10
Wicked Snow had a troubled trip last time out when going off as the favorite, his best finish was under this rider, adds lasix, and I like the inside post. Bonos Heart finished a decent 4th in his 3-year-old debut and should improve from that effort. He once had some good gate speed, let’s see if he can show some of that today. Diablos Cartel comes in from a third place finish in a Stakes race at Turf Paradise at this same distance. Any of his last four starts would be tough here. His trainer is doing well at the meet with 3 wins and 3 seconds from ten starters.

6.30.2013

Independence Day Handicap

Los Alamitos Race Course
Today's card features the running of the Independence Day Handicap where a field of seven will sprint 300 yards in race nine. The top three contenders are Tres Of Linda, Check N Fetch, and Consider. I feel like one those three will win it but it's tough, so I will use all three.

Best Bets:

Race 2 - # 1 Meia Corona: this filly delivered a good second place finish in her debut and then ran into some solid competition in here next two starts when running in futurity trials. She has shown good gate manners and today she faces easier competition. I like the inside post for her and any of her first two efforts should win here. I figured that numbers 1,3 and 4 here would be playing a similar payout in the pick four so I decided to take a stand and single. Hopefully we can catch a price in another leg.

Race 8 - #1 Quenton: he made a big run in his first start as a 3-year-old last out when missing by a neck at odds of 21-1 in similar spot. He encountered trouble at the break and got bumped repeatedly before showing good energy late. He faces a solid field today but with that race under his belt and the inside draw, I think he is the one to beat. He is the 3-1 second choice on the morning line.

Selections:

Race 1:  1-7-3   Cheryl was my nightmare last night, using top three.
Race 2:  1-4-3   Top three look similar, trying to get out with a single.
Race 3:  1-5-7   Was all over Engraver on 5/31 (see blog post), but others offer value.
Race 4:  5-2-4   #5 was scary fast last out, #2 runs good fresh & shows two good works
Race 5:  1-4-7    #1 has been favored last four starts, class drop. Zamudio enters two.
Race 6:  2-6-3   #2 could have won with better break, #6 has good post & gate speed.
Race 7:  6-4-2   #6 ran huge last out, but this field has good runners. Four deep.
Race 8:  1-5-2   Big effort for #1 at 21-1, Visscher & Peinado know how to win races.
Race 9:  5-2-6   #5 powered away but G2 winner Tres Of Linda wants rematch.

My Plays:

Race 1 - $1 Pick Four:  1,3,7 / 1 / 1,2,5,7 / 2,5 = $24

Race 6 - $1 Pick Four:  2,6 / 2,3,4,6 / 1 / 2,5,6 = $24

Some ugly beats in pick-4's and pick-6 in the past few weeks have accumulated to missing out on thousands of dollars, let's get lucky with those photo finishes tonight!