10.14.2012

Super Derby Trials

We have a stellar group of twenty-nine runners in the four trials (races 6 - 9) to the Grade I $1,000,000 Super Derby at Los Alamitos Race Course. The ten fastest qualifiers will return for the final on Saturday November 3 when the winner will also earn a berth to the GI $750,000 Champion of Champions which is set to be run in December. The talent of the runners in each of these trials is impressive, you could easily confuse each trial as a stakes race on it's own. From a betting perspective, the four trials make up the sequence of the late pick four and the first trial is easily the most talented field of the four. Either you spread four deep with the top four betting choices in the first leg or you single and take a stand. I will single. Let's take a look at the races.

Race 6:  1-3-5
#1 Flame N Flash - just won the Millie Vessels in impressive fashion off a layoff since April of this year. She already has a berth to the Champion of Champions and makes a quick turn-around for these $1,000,000 trials. She was absolutely pulling Jockey Francisco Rubio out of the saddle last out. Single

#3 Do You Do Corona - I am just a fan of this hard-trying filly. She comes into this race off of her two best efforts of her career. She has a great late kick and if she can avoid bumping she can jump up and win.

#5 Terrific Synergy - Disappointed last time in the Go Man Go when fifth to the great champ Cold Cash 1 2 3. He tends to run lights out in trials so if he jumps up and crushes, I would not be surprised.

Race 7:  7-1-6
#7 Deniro - I was a little disappointed in his form at Ruidoso Downs this summer, but he is now back at Los Al where he ran great in his two starts here. Shows a good 18.0 workout and reunites with Adrian Loza.

#1 Kool Million - showed powerful win in stakes last out, has four wins and two seconds in six lifetime starts. He retains leading rider Cruz Mendez and drew a good post to avoid trouble.

#6 Hit It Big- was last seen running in the $2,000,000 Futurity last year, and now makes his 3yo debut in this race. Has plenty of upside potential and showed talent early in his career.

Race 8:  6-5-4
#6 Warm Form - registered and easy and powerful win last out after a layoff. That was her best race yet and now looks to carry her speed 50 yards more.

#5 Tres of Linda - big stakes win last out and is 2-for-2 since pairing up with jockey Rodrigo Aceves. She has terrific early speed and has proven to handle this 400 yard distance.

#4 A Mere Dynasty - encountered too much trouble in last race to ignore. Had a four-race win streak going on before last troubled trip and now looks to rebound with a clean break.

Race 9:  7-3-4
#7 New Look - Did not settle in last disappointing effort in the Golden State Derby. He is much better than shown and loves to win races. Rodrigo Aceves sticks and now knows what to correct from the last run.

#3 Hez Our Secret - comes off a second place finish in the All American Derby at Ruidoso Downs when second to the talented Ochoa. Has raced good at Los Alamitos before and his regular rider is aboard.

#4 Feature Miss America - she faced Flame N Flash, Warm Form, Hez Our Secret earlier in her career. She is only making her sixth lifetime start and has plenty of room to improve.

My Play:

$1 Late Pick Four ($30):  1 / 1,3,4,6,7 / 1,3,4,5,6,7 / 7

Good Luck! Join me on Twitter @LosPonies


I watch horses run around.

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