4.13.2012

Rainy Day for Baby Day

Hola Amigos,

With rain storms and thunder coming down pretty hard in much of the Southern California region, we expect a sealed wet track for tonight's racing at Los Alamitos. The week of racing begins today with a good nine race card featuring three races for the 2-year olds. Races 5 and 7 feature the fillies going to post while race 6 is for the colts and geldings going 300 yards. There are some great blood lines in many of those babies which should make for some great races in the second half of the card with a first post set for 7pm. I like both the early and late pick four today with a single in each sequence and some prices in the other legs. Let's get to it.

Race 1: I am going to single in this first race with #8 Legione. This gelding had a good debut two races back when breaking slow, rushing up to battle for lead and then getting tired in the lane. Improvement was expected last time out but his race was a little dull on paper deceiving to the eye. In his last race he never raced in a comfortable stride and showed no real will to relax and had no punch in the stretch. Today I like the order change back to debut pilot and expect a good trip from the outside post.

Race 2: Two deep for me in this second leg of the pick four with #7 Aurelia D who is coming first off the claim for C. Treece who is hitting at 37% with that move and gets the services of Ramon Guce who has ridden this filly well in past opportunities. Top pick will be #8 Sudden Quest who is also coming first off the claim for J. Hanson who is hitting at a 29% with that move and this filly comes into this race off a decent third place finish last out.

Race 3: This leg I will use three runners to cover my play. #3 Just Charmed comes off two good second place finishes against solid $5,000 claimers in fast times. This runner is a claim-back for owner Larry Chapple and Trainer Jim Hanson who lost this runner two races back. Top pick will be #5 Big City Slicker. This gelding is coming into this race off of two straight wins while going up the class ladder once again. His 21 flat and 44 flat speed makes him dangerous to catch especially if the track remains sealed. I will also be throwing in #7 Bev's Ex who comes from a sharp barn who is winning at a hefty 37% with their thoroughbred runners. Trainer Mario loza is also winning at a 29% rate when going first off the claim like he is doing here. There is no way to dismiss a sharp win last time out with 21 flat and 44 flat speed that he recorded when defeating a lower level of claimers. Dangerous.

Race 4: The early pick four sequence concluded with this field of bottom level claimers going 300 yards. I will go four deep in this race to close out my play. #1 My Queen Eileen (new hot rider, inside post), #3 Family Tude (tough trip last out when favored), #5 The King Coliman (good third last effort, similar race should win here), and #7 Bok The Great (new trainer, big layoff, two very good works for this level, dangerous at a price).

$24 Early Pick Four: 8/7,8/3,5,7/1,3,5,7

Race 6: The late Pick four begins with a field of 2-year old colts and geldings making their racing debuts. I am going four deep in this leg with my handicapping angles relying on consistency in their works, proven breeding lines, and lastly human connections. Using #2 Don Loncho, #3 Henoshersecrets, #4 Shifty, and #7 Wine Steward (top pick).

Race 7: Fillies making their debut here. Three deep to cover my play. #3 Sportiness Cartel, #4 The Cartel Straw, #6 Buy Buy (top pick, like the breeding and consistency in drills).

Race 8: Two deep in this race with top pick #1 Easeful Dinastia who comes off a sharp win where she earned her best speed figure to date. Her last two efforts have been her best and have both been from this same rail post. Also using #2 Tac Out who comes off a better than looked effort when lugging in when breaking from the rail post and then showed a good run when only beaten a neck. Watch out for a good effort at a price.

Race 9: To conclude our night of racing we have a solid group of straight maiden runners going 300 yards. I believe the key will be the 300 yard distance as I will single #4 Tabasco Special Dash. In his last effort he broke on top and had the lead every step of the way when getting beat at the end when going 330 yards. With a repeat of his last effort and the the cut back in distance, a winner's circle photo is expected.

$24 Late Pick Four: 2,3,4,7/3,4,6/1,2/4

Good Luck and Lets get some winners!

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I watch horses run around.

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