2.24.2012

Carryover Friday at Los Alamitos of almost $40,000

Hola Amigos,

It is finally friday. We have a great night of racing tonight at los alamitos with a wide open 9 race card. There is an almost $40,000 in the pick six carryover which starts in race 4 that is going to make the night interesting. Last Sunday we came close to cashing a 5 of 6 ticket but got unlucky in the last race to close it out. As always, we two great pick fours (races 1-4 and 6-9) that have been attracting some big pools and nice payouts. There is a 3/5 morning line favorite in race 5 that i believe is in danger of getting beat and that might be the separator tonight in the pick six play. Let's get to it.

Race 1: I am going three deep in this race which starts the early pick four. Using #2 Quick Tempo who was making his first start under the lights at los alamitos last time out and ran a decent third. Also using #3 Tuneful who always seems to be in contention in all her races. This Bono Jazz filly was dropped to this level last time out and got beat a head after a not so good start. Top pick will be #5 Dyansty Beach who is making the biggest drop of the field. Seems like is now or never for this gelding.

Race 2: I am going to Single #1 Royal Gray. This gelding has shown terrific speed in his short career (4 lifetime starts) while racing tougher competition. He has the rail post and if he shows his usual speed he should be able to establish position and reserve some energy for the stretch.

Race 3: Two deep in this third race. Top pick is #1 Louisiana Flush who showed a terrific closing kick in her last start when making up alot of ground late. With a better break from the inside post, she should be dangerous. We cannot overlook the consistency of #3 Mayla Bonita who just seems to fire everytime and has some good running figures.

Race 4: Start of the $39,000 pick six carryover and it also concludes the early pick four. Three deep in this race with #5 Aces N Ale who just broke her maiden last out in a good effort while earning her best lifetime speed figure and has improve in each start. Also using #8 Thinking Regal who is making his first start of the claim for a new trainer and retains the services of leading rider. Last time out his gelding broke slow while throwing his head at the break and leveled out late and showed good run past the wire while only beaten a neck. Top Pick will be #9 Fireman Dave who ran a gutsy effort to run second last time out in a fast race. This gelding is making his second start off the layoff and comes into the race with his best lifetime speed figure and also the best last out figure of the field (90).

Race 5: There is no denying that #6 Aurelia D will be super tough to beat but i will also use #2 Mama's Stroker who is slowly improving in each start and has some speed to gain position early. Also using #4 Doerae Free who is making her second start for trainer Charles Treece and takes the blinkers off. Treece is winning at 38% with that move. Not to mention this mare has shown speed before. Get brave on the lead.

Race 6: My first single of the sequence comes in this sixth race with #1 Badget Cat. Many angles that i like are first off the claim for new trainer (37%), 21 and 1 type speed in a field that is lacking much speed, 10lb apprentice on board, and a good rail draw to gain position early. Single.

Race 7: Second single comes by the way of #3 Rose Pedals. This filly made a good debut last time out when breaking on TOP of the field and running a good third against a solid group of runners. Returns at the same level and she is drawn between two slow breakers. Single.

Race 8: This is a good field of special weight maidens. Three deep in this race for our ticket with #2 What a Zoomer who ran a good third last time out while earning the best last out speed figure of the field. Top pick will be #5 Kool Tobeme who broke outward and got bumped hard at the break last time out and still recovered to run a good second at big odds of 64-1. Trainer-Jockey combo do good. Also using #7 Dash too Blue who is making his second start off a small layoff and gets a nice outside post and has the class edge over this field.

Race 9: The close out leg. Hope to be alive in my plays up until this point and we should be in good shape to cash. Going two deep in this race with #4 Check Out The Bar who just ran the best race of her career last out when second while being one and a half-length clear of the third place finisher. Top Pick will be #6 Check  Merri Out who improved big time last out while only making her second career life-time start. Gets leading rider Rodrigo Aceves on board and has a nice outside post.

$18 Early Pick 4 (races 1-4): 2,3,5/1/1,3/5,8,9

$108 Pick 6 (races 4-9): 5,8,9/2,4,6/1/3/2,5,7/4,6

Good Luck!

Follow me on twitter @LosPonies
I watch horses run around.

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