1.14.2012

Mr Commando lets take it down

Hola Amigos,

Tonight's early pick 4 at los alamitos looks pretty much straight forward on paper with no real big upsets in line. But as always anything can happen and that why they run 'em. The most wide open race for me seems the last leg and that's where I love a horse and my single is there. Lets get to it:

Race 1: two deep to start. Using #1 Suwaalif and #7 Coastal Cathy. #1 just needs a good break to have a chance at this race. With a good break and better trip she should be in the hunt. #7 ran a great race last time despite a bad break. Fits at this level and switches to a more experienced rider.

Race 2: three deep to cover this race with #2 Cowboy Surfer, #6 Apache Station, and #7 Quarter Moon Action. #2 improved alot on her speed figure last time out and retains the services of leading rider. #6 comes off a win at a lower level while pulling away late so the added distance is within reach. #7 comes off a career best speed figure off a power full looking win. Dangerous.

Race 3: Three deep in this third leg. #4 Badget cat is coming first off the claim for Keith Craigmyle which is a 31% winning move for him. Blinkers on (25%), guce-craigmyle combo (33%). #5 Whizer is also from the craigmyle barn and he is making his second start at los al and his second start off the layoff. Finally throwing in #7 Comic Thunder which comes off a long layoff since may of 2011 but shows two solid drills leading up to this.

Race 4: This race looks very tough on paper with this solid seven horse field running for a claiming tag of 10k. Either you spread or you take a stand. I take a stand and single a horse that I love in this spot. #3 Mr Commando. Has shown a terrific late kick but has been unlucky out the gate. With a clean break on the field I think he will coast home a winner. Single

Ticket recap $18: 1,7/2,6,7/4,5,7/3

Follow me on twitter for updates @LosPonies

Good luck!

I watch horses run around.

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