1.07.2012

Kellys Lass is a Free Pass

Hola Amigos, tonight's early pick 4 has some odds on morning line favorites in races 2 and 3 that I believe are in danger of getting beat. Race 4 to close out the pick 4 is a tough allowance race with some good looking runners. Good card, good fields, good wagering options and hoping for good payouts. Let's get to the early pick 4.

Race 1: Right off the bat I am going to single #1 Kelleys Lass, this filly ran a good race from the same post last time out and made up about a length of ground in last yards to only get beat by a head. She's back at the same level, is making her third start off the layoff and has shown ability in her few lifetime starts. Has improvement potential and that makes her dangerous. Single.

Race 2: Two deep in this thoroughbred event. #8 Grand Topper was claimed last out for 5k and is now dropping to the 2k level and gets the services of leading rider. He is going to be low odds at post time but I am not all that confident on him. Will be also using #5 Captain Shawn D which showed a good run last time when angling wide in the stretch after showing some run behing horses. Only got beat half a length for second and with a better showing should be right there at the end.

Race 3: We have another odds on favorite in #8 Frankly First Ace, this gelding showed good efforts in his first two starts but is now coming off a long layofff since june. He was a debut winner (but got DQ'd) which tell us he runs well fresh but I cannot trust him off that slow workout leading up to this race. Will be also using #3 The King Coliman and #7 Ana GJ to try and get by this race and beat the favorite for some value.

Race 4: To close our ticket is a tough allowance race in which we go four deep. All have shown ability and should improve. Using #1 One Famous Ferragamo, #3 First Prize Habit, #4 What a Zoomer, and #8 Fires Kash.

Ticket $24 : 1/5,8/3,7,8/1,3,4,8

Check back later for a pick6 play that I am putting together for the close to 15,000 carryover tonight.

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